When a Revenue Multiple Works for Valuing a Company

When a Revenue Multiple Works for Valuing a Company. Two hypothetical companies with the same $20M of revenue, valued at $80M on recurring revenue and $16.5M on earnings.

The short answer

A revenue multiple works when revenue reliably turns into profit at a rate buyers can predict: software and subscription businesses, companies whose earnings are temporarily held down by deliberate investment, and a few professional practices that trade on rules of thumb. For most $5M to $50M companies in services, manufacturing, distribution and construction, buyers price on earnings, and a revenue multiple is useful only as a cross-check. The reason is arithmetic: a revenue multiple is an earnings multiple times a profit margin, and when margins vary widely across an industry, revenue alone says little about value.

Owners hear revenue multiples constantly. A competitor sold for "two times revenue", a broker quotes a range, a software company in the news went for ten times sales. The numbers are memorable and easy to apply to your own top line, which is the problem. This guide explains what a revenue multiple is, why the same revenue is worth very different amounts, when the method fits and when it misleads, how to translate a revenue multiple into what it assumes about your earnings, and how to use revenue properly as a check on a valuation built on profit. It is one of several methods covered in our guide to how to value a business.

What a revenue multiple is

A revenue multiple is enterprise value divided by annual revenue. Enterprise value is the price of the whole operating business before debt is paid off and cash is taken out, so the multiple compares businesses regardless of how they are financed. Public markets quote the related price-to-sales ratio, which uses the value of the shares alone; private deals use enterprise value.

The revenue in the denominator has to be cleaned up first. Buyers use the trailing twelve months, and they remove anything that will not repeat: a one-time project, a customer prepayment, a discontinued line, income that does not come from operations. For subscription businesses they use annual recurring revenue, the run rate of contracted subscriptions, rather than the income statement figure. The question is always the same: what revenue can the buyer count on after closing?

Why the same revenue is worth different amounts

Every revenue multiple hides an earnings multiple and a margin. If a business earns a 15% EBITDA margin and a buyer pays six times EBITDA, the buyer has paid 0.9 times revenue. If the margin is 30% at the same six times, the price is 1.8 times revenue. Nothing about the revenue changed; the margin doubled the multiple.

The revenue multiple implied by an earnings multiple at different profit margins A chart with EBITDA margin from 5 to 40 percent on the horizontal axis and the implied revenue multiple on the vertical axis. Three rising lines show the result at earnings multiples of four, six and eight times EBITDA. At a 10 percent margin the lines sit at 0.4, 0.6 and 0.8 times revenue. At a 30 percent margin they sit at 1.2, 1.8 and 2.4 times. Revenue multiple = earnings multiple x margin (arithmetic, for illustration) 0x1.0x2.0x3.0x 5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40% Horizontal axis: EBITDA margin 4x EBITDA 6x EBITDA 8x EBITDA
The multiples on the lines are inputs chosen to show the arithmetic; they are not market data for any industry. The point is the slope: at any earnings multiple, a company with twice the margin is worth twice as much per dollar of revenue.

This is why a revenue multiple only works where margins are predictable. In software, gross margins cluster in a narrow, high band and buyers can infer future profit from revenue with reasonable confidence. In a machine shop, a trucking company or an engineering firm, two businesses with identical revenue can have margins of 8% and 22%, and a revenue multiple applied to both will be badly wrong for at least one of them.

When a revenue multiple works

Subscription and software businesses. Contracted recurring revenue with high gross margins and low delivery cost per customer turns into profit at a rate buyers can forecast. Buyers and investors in these businesses price on annual recurring revenue, adjusted for growth and retention, because current earnings understate what the revenue will produce once the growth spending slows.

Earnings held down on purpose. A company reinvesting its profit in sales capacity, product development or a second location can show little or no EBITDA while building a more valuable business. An earnings multiple applied to depressed earnings produces a nonsense figure, and a revenue multiple, tied to the margin the business will earn at maturity, can be the more honest method. The buyer still has to believe the margin will arrive.

Practices that trade on rules of thumb. Some professional and agency businesses change hands on revenue because their cost structures are similar from one firm to the next: accounting and bookkeeping practices, insurance agencies, some medical and dental practices, property management books. The rule of thumb is a shortcut for an earnings multiple at the margin that practices in that field typically earn, and it breaks down for a practice whose margin is unusual.

As a cross-check. For every other business, a revenue multiple is still useful as a second look. If a valuation built on earnings implies 0.4 times revenue in an industry where sales usually clear 0.8 times, something is worth examining: the margin, the add-backs, or the multiple. Our post on EBITDA-based valuation covers the primary method the cross-check is applied to.

When it misleads

Mature services, manufacturing, distribution and construction. Every dollar of revenue in these businesses carries materials, labor, equipment and working capital, and the share that reaches profit varies widely between companies and between years. Buyers here are purchasing cash flow and price on EBITDA or seller's discretionary earnings. A revenue multiple borrowed from a different industry, or from a software headline, produces a number a buyer will not pay.

Project revenue. Revenue that has to be won again every quarter is worth less per dollar than revenue under agreements that renew, and a revenue multiple cannot see the difference. Our guide to how recurring revenue affects value covers how buyers sort the two.

Pass-through and gross revenue. Freight brokers, staffing firms, agencies that buy media for clients, and contractors with heavy subcontractor costs report revenue that largely passes through to someone else. Buyers value these businesses on net revenue or gross profit, and a multiple applied to gross billings overstates value several times over.

Customer concentration. A revenue multiple treats $20M from one customer the same as $20M from two hundred. Buyers do not; revenue concentrated in a few accounts is discounted or structured into an earnout. Our post on customer concentration and value covers that adjustment.

A worked example: two companies, the same revenue

The figures are hypothetical and rounded, including the multiples, which are chosen to illustrate the arithmetic rather than to describe any market. Two companies each have $20M of revenue.

MeasureCompany A: software, subscriptionsCompany B: industrial services, projects
Revenue$20.0M$20.0M
Gross margin80%30%
EBITDA$2.0M (10%), reinvesting in growth$3.0M (15%)
How a buyer prices it (hypothetical)4.0x recurring revenue5.5x EBITDA
Enterprise value$80.0M$16.5M
Implied revenue multiple4.0x0.8x
Implied EBITDA multiple40x5.5x

Company B earns more today and is worth a fifth as much, and nothing about that is unfair. Company A's buyer is paying for an 80% gross margin on contracted revenue that will produce large profits once the growth spending stops. Company B's buyer is paying for $3.0M of cash flow from projects that have to be re-won, with trucks and equipment to maintain. If Company B's owner had taken a revenue multiple from the software world, or even a generic "two times revenue" from a conversation, the expectation would have been $40M against an offer of $16.5M, and the sale would have stalled on the first call.

Translate any revenue multiple into what it assumes about your earnings

The practical use of the arithmetic is to test a revenue multiple you have been quoted. Divide it by your EBITDA margin and you get the earnings multiple it assumes. If a broker suggests two times revenue and your EBITDA margin is 12%, the suggestion assumes a buyer will pay almost seventeen times EBITDA, which is the question to ask next. Enter your figures below.

Revenue multiple translator

Enter revenue, earnings and one multiple to see what it implies.

Our free business valuation calculator starts from earnings and your industry, which is the order a buyer uses, and shows where the result sits in your industry's range.

How to use revenue in a valuation you can defend

  1. Start from earnings. Normalize EBITDA or seller's discretionary earnings with documented add-backs, and apply a multiple from transactions in your industry and size range. This is the number a buyer will test.
  2. Clean the revenue figure. Trailing twelve months, with one-time items, discontinued lines and pass-through billings removed, and recurring revenue separated from project revenue.
  3. Compute the implied revenue multiple. Divide the earnings-based value by cleaned revenue and compare it with what businesses in your field change hands for. A large gap in either direction means a margin, an add-back or a multiple needs another look.
  4. Explain the gap, if there is one. A margin above the industry's is a selling point that needs a reason buyers will believe; a margin below it is a value driver to fix before a sale.
  5. Use revenue as the headline only where buyers do. If you are in a field that trades on recurring revenue or a rule of thumb, lead with it and bring the earnings bridge behind it.

In our valuation work the revenue multiple appears as a check on the income and market approaches rather than as a method of its own, and the report shows the implied figure next to the conclusion so a reader can see that the two agree. Our post on what is inside a professional valuation report covers where that comparison sits.

Common mistakes

  • Borrowing a multiple from another industry. A software multiple on a services company produces a number no buyer will pay.
  • Applying a multiple to gross billings. Pass-through revenue is not yours to be valued.
  • Forgetting what the multiple assumes. Two times revenue at a 12% margin is seventeen times earnings. Say it that way and the conversation changes.
  • Treating a rule of thumb as a floor. Rules of thumb assume a typical margin; a practice earning less is worth less.
  • Ignoring concentration and revenue quality. The multiple cannot see who the customers are or whether they are under contract.
  • Mixing enterprise and equity value. A revenue multiple gives enterprise value; debt comes off before the owner is paid.

Frequently asked questions

What is a typical revenue multiple for a small or mid-sized business?

There is no useful single figure, because a revenue multiple is an earnings multiple times a margin, and margins differ by industry and by company. Find yours by taking the earnings multiple that businesses in your field and size range sell for and multiplying it by your own EBITDA or SDE margin. A high-margin company can be worth two or three times a low-margin peer with the same revenue.

Why do software companies sell for higher revenue multiples?

Because their revenue converts to profit at a high and predictable rate. Gross margins are high, delivery cost per added customer is low, and revenue is contracted and recurring, so a buyer can forecast what the revenue will earn once growth spending slows. A manufacturer or service firm has to fund materials, labor, equipment and working capital out of every sale, so far less of each revenue dollar reaches profit.

Should I value my company on revenue if it is not yet profitable?

Only if the lack of profit is deliberate and temporary, such as reinvestment in sales capacity or a new location, and you can show the margin the business will earn at maturity. A buyer will price the revenue at that future margin, discounted for the risk that it never arrives. If the business is unprofitable because of its cost structure, a revenue multiple overstates value and the sale stalls.

Does a revenue multiple include the company's debt?

A revenue multiple produces enterprise value: the value of the operating business before debt is repaid and cash is taken out. The owner's proceeds are enterprise value less debt plus cash, after the working capital adjustment and transaction costs. Two companies with the same revenue multiple can leave their owners with very different amounts if one carries equipment loans and a line of credit and the other does not.

How does customer concentration affect a revenue multiple?

A revenue multiple cannot tell the difference between revenue from one customer and revenue from two hundred, but buyers can. When a large share of revenue comes from a single customer, buyers apply a lower multiple, tie part of the price to that customer staying through an earnout, or both. Reducing concentration before a sale raises the multiple itself rather than the earnings it is applied to.

What revenue figure should the multiple be applied to?

Trailing twelve-month revenue, cleaned of one-time items, discontinued lines and income that does not come from operations, with pass-through billings removed for businesses that bill on behalf of clients. For subscription businesses, annual recurring revenue, meaning the run rate of contracted subscriptions. Buyers also separate recurring revenue from project revenue before applying any multiple, because the two are worth different amounts per dollar.

Start from earnings, then check it against revenue

Our free business valuation calculator asks for your revenue, your EBITDA or SDE, your industry and your growth, and shows an estimate of value and where it sits in your industry's range in about a minute. When the number has to hold up with a buyer, a partner or a lender, our valuation professionals prepare a formal valuation to NACVA professional standards, with the revenue cross-check shown beside the conclusion.

Wondering what a formal valuation involves? See what drives the cost of a business valuation.

Previous
Previous

What's Inside a Professional Business Valuation Report?

Next
Next

Cash Management for Businesses After the Fed's September Hike